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	<title>Arizona Mortgage &#187; Home Prices,Housing</title>
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		<title>Ignore The Case-Shiller Index; Focus On The Future Instead</title>
		<link>http://awesomerates.com/case-shiller-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://awesomerates.com/case-shiller-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Mar 2011 13:46:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mark Taylor]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Prices,Housing]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[December's Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index's 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall. The retreat puts December's home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Mark Taylor and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black;" title="Case-Shiller December 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/case-shiller-delta-monthly-201012.png" alt="Case-Shiller December 2010" width="450" height="438" /></p>
<p>Last week, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s released its Case-Shiller Index for December 2010. The index is a home valuation tracker, meant to meausure the change in home prices from one period to the next.</p>
<p>December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index showed major devaluations nationwide. As compared to December 2009, on a year-over-year basis, home values fell in 18 of the Case Shiller Index&#8217;s 20 tracked markets, and the U.S. National Index dropped 4 percent overall.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The retreat puts December&#8217;s home values at similar levels as compared to early-2003.</p>
<p>That said, buyers and sellers would be wise to take the findings lightly.&nbsp;The Case-Shiller Index is inherently flawed. As such, its results are neither practical &#8212; nor relevant &#8212; to everyday Americans.</p>
<p>There are 3 Case-Shiller flaws, in fact.</p>
<p>The first flaw is the index&#8217;s limited sample set. Wikipedia lists <a title="List of cities, towns and villages in the United States" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities,_towns,_and_villages_in_the_United_States" target="_blank">3,100+ municipalities</a>&nbsp;nationwide and we can be certain that real estate is bought and sold in all of them. The Case-Shiller Index, however, measures just 20 of them. That&#8217;s less than 1% of all U.S. cities. And then, <em>within</em> those tracked cities, Case-Shiller reports an average, lumping disparate neighborhoods and streets into one big number.</p>
<p>The &#8220;national figures&#8221; aren&#8217;t really national, and the &#8220;city data&#8221; doesn&#8217;t apply to your home, specifically.</p>
<p>The second Case-Shiller Index flaw is how it measures home value changes.&nbsp;The index only consider at &#8220;repeat sales&#8221; of the same home, so long as that home is a single-family, detached property. Condominiums, multi-family homes, and new construction are ignored in the Case-Shiller Index.</p>
<p>Because distressed properties account for such a high percentage of resales lately &#8212; <a title="Existing Home Sales, January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/02/january_above" target="_blank">36% in December</a> &#8211;foreclosures and short sales skew Case-Shiller Index worse.</p>
<p>And, lastly, the Case-Shiller Index is flawed by &#8220;age&#8221;. Because it reports closed sales a 60-day delay, December&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index is measuring the values of home sales contracts from September and October. The Case-Shiller Index, therefore, is a snapshot of the not-so-recent past, and does little to tell us about the next 60 days.</p>
<p>Overall, the Case-Shiller Index is helpful tool for economists and policy-makers, but it doesn&#8217;t do much good for individual homeowners across the city of Mesa or anywhere else. For accurate, real-time housing data in your local market, talk to a real estate professional instead.</p>
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<h4>Related Articles:</h4>
<ul>
<li class="apf_footer"><a href="http://awesomerates.com/case-shiller-index-october-2010/">Why You Shouldn&#8217;t Put Too Much Faith In October&#8217;s Case-Shiller Index</a></li>
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