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	<title>Arizona Mortgage &#187; Geopolitics,Jobless Claims,Non-Farm Payrolls</title>
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		<title>What&#8217;s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 9, 2011</title>
		<link>http://awesomerates.com/mortgage-rate-forecast-may-9-2011/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 09 May 2011 12:47:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mark Taylor]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics,Jobless Claims,Non-Farm Payrolls]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage markets improved last week on a bevy of economic and geopolitical news. Conforming mortgage rates improved, falling to their lowest levels of 2011.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Mark Taylor and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Non-Farm Payrolls" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/non-farm-payrolls-net-jobs-201104.png" alt="Non-Farm Payrolls" width="216" height="302" />Mortgage markets improved last week on a bevy of economic and geopolitical news. Conforming mortgage rates in Scottsdale improved, falling to their lowest levels of 2011.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a welcome development for home buyers and rate shoppers nationwide. Mortgage rates were expected to rise throughout most of this year.</p>
<p>There were four big stories that contributed to falling rates last week.</p>
<p>The first was the news that Osama bin Laden was killed. The news was announced over the weekend, and by the time markets opened Monday morning, the price of oil <a title="Oil falls on bin Laden death" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-02/s-p-500-futures-jump-oil-drops-on-bin-laden-s-death-yen-silver-decline.html" target="_blank">was already falling</a>. Falling oil prices reduce inflationary pressures on the economy and because inflation contributes to rising mortgage rates, the absence of inflation helps them to fall.</p>
<p>This news carried markets to Thursday morning. That&#8217;s when the Department of Labor announced that Initial Jobless Claims had suddenly and unexpectedly <a title="Initial Jobless Claims Apr 30" href="http://wallstreetpit.com/73430-initial-jobless-claims-surge-to-8-month-high" target="_blank">surged to an 8-month high</a>. Last week&#8217;s report featured the biggest one-week jump in claims in more than 2 years.</p>
<p>This, too, pushed mortgage rates lower, casting doubt on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.</p>
<p>Then, Friday morning, those doubts were cast aside. When the government released its Non-Farm Payrolls report for April, it showed job creation topping 200,000 <a title="Jobs report April 2011" href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf" target="_blank">for the third straight month</a>. We would have expected mortgage rates to rise on news like this, but they didn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>Rates fell instead &#8212; mostly because the strength of the U.S. jobs report rendered mortgage-backed bonds more attractive to global investors.</p>
<p>The last story, though, is the one worth watching long-term.</p>
<p>Late-Friday, in response to its growing debt issues, it was reported that Greece may <a title="Greece may leave the Eurozone, it was reported" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i_9xMtcl5K5LGzUiweThfrrgA3dQ?docId=a9eba72a2015433e841582890bfef59e" target="_blank">withdraw from the Eurozone</a>. An outcome such as this is unlikely, however, the possibility was enough to spark a flight-to-quality that benefited U.S. mortgage rates. Conforming and FHA rates ended Friday lower, reaching their best levels since December.</p>
<p>This week, there isn&#8217;t much economic news set for release so the above stories will continue to influence markets and rates. Geopolitics can change quickly, though, so if you&#8217;re floating a mortgage rate and waiting for the bottom, don&#8217;t wait <em>too </em>long. Markets can reverse in a snap.</p>
<p>If you see a rate you like, the safest move is to lock it.</p>
<div id="apf_post_footer">
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<p><a href="http://awesomerates.com/our-team/" target=_blank>Mark Taylor</a> | <a href="http://awesomerates.com" target=_blank>Arizona Home Loans</a> | <a href="http://blarming.com" target=_blank>Blarming</a> | <a href="http://willyoulistentome.com" target=_blank>Will You Listen to Me</a> | <a href="http://www.ArizonaShortSalesDoneRight.com" target=_blank>Arizona Short Sales</a> | <a href="http://www.ArizonaForeclosuresDoneRight.com" target=_blank>Arizona Foreclosures</a> | <a href="http://fhaarizona.net" target=_blank>Arizona FHA Loans</a> | <a href="http://arizonausda.com" target=_blank>Arizona USDA Loans</a> | <a href="https://yoursiteneedsme.com" target="_blank">Real Estate Websites</a> | <a href="http://azhud.net" target=_blank>Arizona HUD Homes</a> | <a href="http://vaarizona.net" target=_blank>Ariona VA Loans</a> | <a href="http://www.fixmybrokencredit.com" target=_blank>Fix My Broken Credit</a> | <a href="http://themortgagemoment.com" target=_blank>Arizona Mortgage</a> | <a href="http://www.shortsaleresponseunit.com" target=_blank>Arizona Short Sale</a> | <a href="http://powerranchbankownedhomes.com" target=_blank>Power Ranch Bank Owned Homes</a></p>
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